Next Tuesday, January 23, the Oscar nominations will finally be announced. ¿Barbie, Oppenheimer, poor creatures y The Moon Killers Will they compete for best film? Margot Robbie, Emma Stone, Lily Gladstone and Carey Mulligan, as best actresses? Bradley Cooper, Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti and Leo DiCaprio, as best actors?
There is no way to predict the vote of the nearly 10,000 people who have already expressed their preferences in the 23 areas. The 96th Hollywood Academy Awards ceremony will be held on March 10 at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, Los Angeles, California.
as best movie there are some titles postedas Oppenheimer, poor creatures, Barbie, The Moon Killers, Those who stay, American Fiction y Maestro. It is assumed that there will be 10 nominees, and they would also be there Anatomy of a fall, The area of interest and possibly Past Lives. The color purple y Air They are lowering their Oscar claims.
The top 5 directors should emerge from those 10 films. Do we risk? Not so much: Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer), Greta Gerwig (Barbie), Martin Scorsese (The Moon Killers), Yorgos Lanthimos (poor creatures) y Alexander Payne (Those who stay) were nominated by the Directors Guild of America, which brings together directors. They should be the same. At most, Jonathan Glazer (The area of interest) and the French Justine Triet (Anatomy of a fall).
But there is another way to predict, if possible, who the nominees will be, at least in the acting categories.
Well, before the voting period for the Oscar nominations began (it was on January 11), there were three entities that announced their nominees: the Golden Globe, the Critics Choice Awards and the SAG Awards, from the union of actors.
Although those voted for the latter often coincide with the Oscar nominees (the branch of performers is the largest in the Academy), seeing that 9 leading performers and 6 supporting performers were candidates for the three aforementioned awards, well, it gives an index of what may be announced this Tuesday.
some fixed
For best actor, Bradley Cooper (Maestro), Colman Domingo (Rustin), Paul Giamatti (Those who stay), Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) y Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction). Here Leo DiCaprio can come in, for The Moon Killers. The question is to decide who comes out of the nominated quintet.
For best leading actress, Lily Gladstone (The Moon Killers), Carey Mulligan (Maestro), Margot Robbie (Barbie) y Emma Stone (poor creatures). Let’s add the German Sandra Hüller (Toni Erdmann) by Anatomy of a fall (academics love to nominate foreign performers).
For best supporting actor, both the Globe, Critics Choice and SAG nominated Robert De Niro (The assassins of the moona), Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) y a Ryan Gosling (Barbie). Both Mark Ruffalo and Willem Dafoe, both for poor creaturesthey could be, and others to add are the youngest Dominic Sessa (Those who stay) y Charles Melton (May December).
And for best supporting actress, always in alphabetical order, there are four who would have secured their place in the nominations for the Hollywood Academy Awards: Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer), Danielle Brooks (The color purple), Jodie Foster (Nyad) and Da’Vine Joy Randolph (Those who stay). Let’s add the already winners Julianne Moore for May Decemberya Penelope Cross, by Ferrari to enter the discussion.
The Bafta nominations released this Thursday do not influence the Oscar nominations, because the voting period ended on Tuesday, January 16. Of all the actors mentioned above, only Lily Gladstone and Jodie Foster were not candidates for the British Film Academy Award.
A year ago we dreamed that Argentina, 1985 won the Oscar nomination for Best International Film. This year, The criminals, by Rodrigo Moreno, failed to make it past the short list of 15 titles. There are practically no doubts here, and unless there is some surprise –Anatomy of a fall she cannot be there, because France did not choose her, and sent The Taste of Thingswith Juliette Binoche, who could be nominated-, The area of interest (the United Kingdom sent it) the Spanish one The Snow Societythe Finnish Autumn leaves y Perfect Days, by Wim Wenders (for Japan). There is no need to dismiss I captainfrom Italy, or the Ukrainian 20 Days in Mariupolwhich is also documentary and would have a secure place in that area.
There is no choice but to wait until Tuesday, around 10:30 in the morning in Argentina, when the mystery begins to be revealed.