Two weeks after the signing of the bilateral agreement for the sale of gas from Argentina to the Brazilian market, the Argentine Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo, met, in the capital of São Paulo, with the governor of São Paulo, Tarcísio de Freitas, and with the president of the Federation of Industries of the State of São Paulo (Fiesp), Josué Gomes da Silva. Caputo traveled with the secretary general of the Presidency, Karina Milei, sister of the Argentine president and increasingly powerful in the government’s domestic and international decisions. The objective of the trip to the capital of São Paulo was to attract investment to Argentina – without leaving aside Javier Milei’s intention to form a right-wing front in Latin America. Caputo had already traveled to Brazil as part of the G20 meetings. This time, the minister explained to Fiesp businesspeople and executives the functioning of the system implemented by Milei to attract investments, called the Large Investment Incentive Regime (Rigi), of tax and customs flexibility, which has the support of Argentine governors. According to a Clarín report in Spanish, companies in the technology, steel, energy, aviation and tourism sectors, among others, listened to the minister’s explanations. He would have returned from São Paulo excited.
Almost a year after Milei took office, on December 10, 2023, inflation and the country risk rate (investor confidence thermometer) plummeted. But the country is still awaiting announcements of large new investments, as Milei intends.
On Monday (2), on the day of Caputo and Karina Milei’s meetings in São Paulo, the newspaper O Globo published an editorial praising the fiscal adjustment implemented by the Argentine president. The newspaper Estadão has praised the economic line adopted by Milei. In Argentina, however, research shows that the population’s biggest concern today is the increase in unemployment, in addition to the increase in poverty rates during this period.
It will be in the context of political rapprochement with governor Tarcísio de Freitas, invited by Karina to visit Argentina on a business mission, that presidents Lula and Milei will meet again (to be seen, in other words). The meeting of presidents of the Mercosur countries will be held in Montevideo this Thursday and Friday. According to Itamaraty sources, Lula will arrive at the meeting optimistic about progress in negotiations between the bloc and the European Union (EU). In recent days, meetings have been held between technicians from the two blocks. And, despite France’s rejection of the agreement, Brazil remains optimistic. To enter into force, this agreement, which began to be negotiated in 1999, still needs to be approved by the European Council (27 heads of state or government) and the European Parliament. The text to be approved or rejected must be sent by the European Commission. The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, is in favor of the understanding, say Itamaraty sources. The bet is that France will remain isolated and be a minority in the vote, say negotiators. Milei is in favor of the free trade agreement, but critical of Mercosur. This week, Itamaraty’s secretary of Latin America and the Caribbean, ambassador Gisela Padovan, attributed the impact of the Milei government’s economic adjustment to the sharp drop (around 20%) in Brazilian exports to Argentina. This Wednesday, on the eve of the Mercosur meeting, Milei will be with deputy Eduardo Bolsonaro and envoys from the future Trump administration at the meeting of conservatives at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), held in Buenos Aires. In a video, former president Jair Bolsonaro praised the Milei government. The Argentine president considers the Bolsonaros his friends and has political affinity with them. But he also knows that Brazil, currently presided over by Lula, continues to be Argentina’s main trading partner.
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